It’s About Control, Not Prediction

One of the most important lessons I’ve learned is that knowing what each side (buyers and sellers) needs isn’t the same as predicting the market. I can’t predict anything, but I can understand what each side needs to stay in control.

For example, if the price is sitting on support, the buyers need to hold that level. I can see what they’re doing and how price is behaving. If the price is chopping around instead of pulling back from resistance, that tells me the buyers are building a base and preparing for an upward move.

This isn’t prediction—it’s analysis. I’m simply looking for who is in control, and I align my trades with the dominant side. This is where many traders go wrong. They focus too much on indicators and miss the bigger question: who’s controlling the market?

Technical analysis and indicators are there to help manage trades, but they don’t drive the market. Those in control want the price to follow clean technical patterns because it encourages more traders to join their side. If you spot price holding support, and your indicators are aligned, that’s a good sign to trade in favor of the side in control.

Don’t waste time fighting the market when you’re not on the winning side.